The market moved

-2.9ppin 24h · now 90¢

ITF Ollersbach: Kalin Ivanovski vs Aleksander Chayka

Sports · resolves Jul 28 · vol $467.43

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 90¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.