The market moved

-15.5ppin 24h · now 47¢

ITF Saarlouis: Moritz Kudernatsch vs Markus Malaszszak

Sports · resolves Jun 26 · vol $846.25

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.