The market moved

-14.1ppin 24h · now

ITF Ljubljana: Jan Kupcic vs Alexander Weis

Sports · resolves Jun 12 · vol $397.91

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.