The market moved

-8.5ppin 24h · now

ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Rodrigo Leal vs Tiago Pereira

Sports · resolves Aug 19 · vol $767.89

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.