James Comey charges dropped by July 31?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on department of justice — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: department of Justice — https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/28/politics/justice-department-indicts-ex-fbi-director-james-comey-again).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 22.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.