The market moved
-18.5ppin 24h · now 17¢
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
Science · resolves Dec 31 · vol $889.41
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.