The market moved
-0.3ppin 24h · now 0¢
JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?
Other · resolves Oct 11 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on projects.fivethirtyeight.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: projects.fivethirtyeight.com — https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/jd-vance/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.