JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on cdc's nowcast at the time of its next release (after 12/9/23) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: CDC's Nowcast at the time of its next release (after 12/9/23) — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.