The market moved
-26.0ppin 24h · now 25¢
Will Joe Burrow have 38.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Sports · resolves Jan 12 · vol $483.95
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 26.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official nfl data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official NFL data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.