The market moved
-0.8ppin 24h · now 100¢
John Daghita arrested by March 31?
Politics · resolves Apr 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://x.com/zoomerfied/status/2015949703473516635?s=20.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.