Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.9pp shift. Resolution depends on the silver bulletin for any date between september 9 and september 30, 2024 (inclusive) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the Silver Bulletin for any date between September 9 and September 30, 2024 (inclusive) — https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.