The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Kamala says "unburdened" by Friday?

Other · resolves Jul 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on whitehouse.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: whitehouse.gov — https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2024/06/29/remarks-by-vice-president-harris-at-a-campaign-reception-10/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.