The market moved

-7.7ppin 24h · now

Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI

Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kamala+270.png.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.