The market moved
-8.0ppin 24h · now 48¢
Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes?
Politics · resolves Aug 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 48¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: supreme court — https://www.kslegislature.gov/b2023_24/bills/download/?apn=b2025_26/ds_docs_li/summary_scr_1611_2025.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.