The market moved
+5.4ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Other · resolves Jul 28 · vol $41.50
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 8¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.4pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.