The market moved
-8.5ppin 24h · now 22¢
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $56.09
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.