The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Other · resolves Jun 9 · vol $143.32

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 28.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.