The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 45¢

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Sports · resolves May 13 · vol $5.3K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 11.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.