The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 56¢
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $8.63
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 56¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 34.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
