The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 11¢
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5
Sports · resolves May 14 · vol $142.87
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 31.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
