The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 0¢
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Macro · resolves May 2 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on all hands up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: all hands up to that point.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.