The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 63¢

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Jul 29 · vol $391.69

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 23.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.