The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 89¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Sports · resolves Jul 23 · vol $22.6K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 89¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 37.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.