The market moved

+2.0ppin 24h · now 38¢

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Sports · resolves Jun 3 · vol $21.8K

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 38¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.