The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now

LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Sports · resolves Jul 16 · vol $508.52

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 42.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.