The market moved
-38.0ppin 24h · now 14¢
Game Handicap: SDM (-2.5) vs Kits Esports (+2.5)
Sports · resolves Aug 12 · vol $37.17
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 38.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 11.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.