The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 59¢

LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs

Sports · resolves Jun 4 · vol $28.9K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 59¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.