The market moved

-0.3ppin 24h · now

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Sports · resolves Jul 6 · vol $5.4K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 15.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.