The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 45¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Sports · resolves Aug 13 · vol $140.94

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 45¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.