The market moved

-29.4ppin 24h · now

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 5?

Weather · resolves Jun 5 · vol $14.6K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 29.4pp shift. Resolution depends on weather.gov.hk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: weather.gov.hk — https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.