The market moved
+6.5ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 2?
Weather · resolves Jun 2 · vol $17.48
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 24.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.