The market moved
+72.9ppin 24h · now 99¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 7?
Weather · resolves Jun 7 · vol $2.9K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 72.9pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 2.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.