The market moved

+13.0ppin 24h · now 23¢

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 28?

Weather · resolves May 28 · vol $56.29

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 23¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 13.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 38.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.