The market moved
-34.0ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 14?
Weather · resolves Aug 14 · vol $579.41
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 34.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'daily observations' table on weather underground, not the figure displayed in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in th — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.