The market moved
+9.0ppin 24h · now 53¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5?
Weather · resolves Aug 5 · vol $762.81
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 53¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 2.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.