The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 10¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 9?
Weather · resolves Aug 9 · vol $311.46
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'daily observations' table on weather underground, not the figure displayed in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in th — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.