The market moved
-43.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 14?
Weather · resolves Jun 14 · vol $255.27
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 43.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 1.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.