The market moved
+4.2ppin 24h · now 14¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 20?
Weather · resolves Jun 20 · vol $424.91
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 14¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.2pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 2.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.