The market moved

+4.0ppin 24h · now 25¢

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 15?

Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $23.81

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 25¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+4.0pp · Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 15? | Orrery