The market moved
-0.4ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 15?
Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $7.80
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
