The market moved
+42.5ppin 24h · now 67¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 14?
Weather · resolves Jul 14 · vol $962.86
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 67¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 42.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 2.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.