The market moved
-1.5ppin 24h · now 30¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 20?
Weather · resolves Jun 20 · vol $600.88
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 30¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.