The market moved

+15.5ppin 24h · now 35¢

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 25?

Weather · resolves May 25 · vol $64.32

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 35¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.