The market moved
+7.5ppin 24h · now 39¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 23?
Weather · resolves Jun 23 · vol $250.17
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 39¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.