The market moved
-17.5ppin 24h · now 9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 27?
Weather · resolves Jun 27 · vol $480.15
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.