The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 28¢

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 16?

Weather · resolves May 16 · vol $3.33

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.