The market moved

+53.8ppin 24h · now 57¢

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 5?

Weather · resolves Jul 5 · vol $4.1K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 57¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 53.8pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 13.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.