The market moved
-8.3ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 18?
Weather · resolves Jun 18 · vol $1.3K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.3pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 9.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.