The market moved

+63.9ppin 24h · now 99¢

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?

Weather · resolves Jul 23 · vol $7.5K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 63.9pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.