The market moved
+30.5ppin 24h · now 57¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 3?
Weather · resolves Jun 3 · vol $373.38
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 57¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 30.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 14.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.